Vegas/bookmakers odds for 2024 election

Started by YoDoug, October 16, 2024, 12:14 PM

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YoDoug

October 16, 2024, 12:14 PM
It seems the bookies have Trump odds of winning very high. I find that interesting. In 2020 they had his odds of winning slightly better than Biden. Then the dems pulled off the big steal to overcome massive vote deficits late in the night behind closed doors. The bookies/casinos/etc. lost money. Bookies and odds makers normally have to factor in everything can when setting odds. Do they know something or do they think Trump has such a lead that the Dems couldn't cheat that much? I find it hard to believe they are basing their odds on just published polls.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
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"In all my years here and on the old forum I have heard, and likely said, some pretty unhinged stuff. But congrats, you're the new leader in clubhouse."  - ghuns, 6/06/2025

Incogneeto

#1
October 16, 2024, 12:31 PM
Quote from: YoDoug on October 16, 2024, 12:14 PMIt seems the bookies have Trump odds of winning very high. I find that interesting. In 2020 they had his odds of winning slightly better than Biden. Then the dems pulled off the big steal to overcome massive vote deficits late in the night behind closed doors. The bookies/casinos/etc. lost money. Bookies and odds makers normally have to factor in everything can when setting odds. Do they know something or do they think Trump has such a lead that the Dems couldn't cheat that much? I find it hard to believe they are basing their odds on just published polls.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

I Don't know But Smit lost a Buttload of $$$$$$$ on Hillary. :)
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Brad St

#2
October 16, 2024, 12:32 PM
NPR this morning was stating that the Democrat's are even saying their worried about Trump taking several swing states.

https://www.npr.org/2024/10/15/nx-s1-5153420/swing-state-map-donald-trump-kamala-harris-polls

Bucky Cornstarch

#3
October 16, 2024, 12:35 PM
Quote from: YoDoug on October 16, 2024, 12:14 PMIt seems the bookies have Trump odds of winning very high. I find that interesting. In 2020 they had his odds of winning slightly better than Biden. Then the dems pulled off the big steal to overcome massive vote deficits late in the night behind closed doors. The bookies/casinos/etc. lost money. Bookies and odds makers normally have to factor in everything can when setting odds. Do they know something or do they think Trump has such a lead that the Dems couldn't cheat that much? I find it hard to believe they are basing their odds on just published polls.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

No, they didn't. Trump lost the 2020 election, no matter how many times you or any other misinformed election denier claims otherwise.

As was said in another thread, we can do this all day, but what's the point. You will still be wrong.

YoDoug

#4
October 16, 2024, 01:00 PM
Quote from: Bucky Cornstarch on October 16, 2024, 12:35 PMNo, they didn't. Trump lost the 2020 election, no matter how many times you or any other misinformed election denier claims otherwise.

As was said in another thread, we can do this all day, but what's the point. You will still be wrong.



Prove I'm wrong. Oh yeah, any legitimate attempt to do any serious accounting for Bidens statistically impossible votes was shut down as soon as it started trending towards evident fraud. So just like the existence of God, you can't prove either side with any certainty.
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"In all my years here and on the old forum I have heard, and likely said, some pretty unhinged stuff. But congrats, you're the new leader in clubhouse."  - ghuns, 6/06/2025

Del.

#5
October 16, 2024, 01:09 PM
What's the odds?
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gcode

#6
October 16, 2024, 02:21 PM
Quote from: Del. on October 16, 2024, 01:09 PMWhat's the odds?

There's a guy her who follows that closely.
He says its been going up for a couple of days now
Every time Harris opens her mouth, she goes down and Trump goes up.
I think it's about 60/40 Trump now.

YoDoug

#7
October 16, 2024, 02:31 PM
Quote from: Del. on October 16, 2024, 01:09 PMWhat's the odds?

The link I posted has like ten different bookmakers odds. Average is like Trump 57.7%, Harris 41.3%
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"In all my years here and on the old forum I have heard, and likely said, some pretty unhinged stuff. But congrats, you're the new leader in clubhouse."  - ghuns, 6/06/2025

MIL-TFP-41

#8
October 16, 2024, 02:52 PM
Quote from: YoDoug on October 16, 2024, 01:00 PMProve I'm wrong.
Who is president today? How much more proof do you need than that? Trump lost...whether you think it was fair or not is a different topic. 

Incogneeto

#9
October 16, 2024, 02:56 PM
Quote from: MIL-TFP-41 on October 16, 2024, 02:52 PMWho is president today? How much more proof do you need than that? Trump lost...whether you think it was fair or not is a different topic. 

No .

You are wrong. ;)
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MIL-TFP-41

#10
October 16, 2024, 02:58 PM
Before Biden dropped out Harris was at +2000 ($100 bet wins you $2000)
After Biden dropped her odds went to +500 (where I bought in)

The past few weeks the numbers have been swinging back & forth, I think to keep the betting action going.

Fun fact, before super Tuesday in 2020 Biden was at +2000. I had $100 left over from betting that Trump would get impeached in 2019 (had +300 odds on that). I was surprised to see his numbers that bad, and he was one of the few candidates with national recognition. So I put money on Biden. He won, therefore I won, more proof for ya!
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YoDoug

#11
October 16, 2024, 03:00 PM
Quote from: MIL-TFP-41 on October 16, 2024, 02:52 PMWho is president today? How much more proof do you need than that? Trump lost...whether you think it was fair or not is a different topic. 

Um, Not making much sense there. I said prove I am wrong about Biden cheating. Whether or not he is president doesn't prove or disprove if he cheated.
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"In all my years here and on the old forum I have heard, and likely said, some pretty unhinged stuff. But congrats, you're the new leader in clubhouse."  - ghuns, 6/06/2025

RobertELee

#12
October 16, 2024, 03:21 PM
Quote from: MIL-TFP-41 on October 16, 2024, 02:58 PMBefore Biden dropped out Harris was at +2000 ($100 bet wins you $2000)
After Biden dropped her odds went to +500 (where I bought in)

The past few weeks the numbers have been swinging back & forth, I think to keep the betting action going.

Fun fact, before super Tuesday in 2020 Biden was at +2000. I had $100 left over from betting that Trump would get impeached in 2019 (had +300 odds on that). I was surprised to see his numbers that bad, and he was one of the few candidates with national recognition. So I put money on Biden. He won, therefore I won, more proof for ya!

On something like that, are you locked in at +500 or does your bet go up and down with the ever-changing odds? I've never really bet on sports so never really understood how all that works.

Incogneeto

#13
October 16, 2024, 03:27 PM
Quote from: RobertELee on October 16, 2024, 03:21 PMOn something like that, are you locked in at +500 or does your bet go up and down with the ever-changing odds? I've never really bet on sports so never really understood how all that works.

It's ok I have a sport bet site you can't loose.

Just hook up to my Chime and send the Money.

I would not bet cheap unless you want your friends to think you are a pussy.

HTH! :D

Del.

#14
October 16, 2024, 03:28 PM
Quote from: MIL-TFP-41 on October 16, 2024, 02:58 PMBefore Biden dropped out Harris was at +2000 ($100 bet wins you $2000)
After Biden dropped her odds went to +500 (where I bought in)

The past few weeks the numbers have been swinging back & forth, I think to keep the betting action going.

Fun fact, before super Tuesday in 2020 Biden was at +2000. I had $100 left over from betting that Trump would get impeached in 2019 (had +300 odds on that). I was surprised to see his numbers that bad, and he was one of the few candidates with national recognition. So I put money on Biden. He won, therefore I won, more proof for ya!

What if he was -2000. Would it cost 2100 to win a 100 ?
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